Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 78.8%. A draw had a probability of 14% and a win for Kayserispor had a probability of 7.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.23%) and 1-0 (10.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.64%), while for a Kayserispor win it was 0-1 (2.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.
