SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 51.53%. A win for Umraniyespor had a probability of 27.01% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.48%) and 1-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Umraniyespor win was 1-2 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.12%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fatih Karagumruk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fatih Karagumruk | Draw | Umraniyespor |
51.53% ( -1.14) | 21.45% ( -0.07) | 27.01% ( 1.2) |
| Both teams to score 66.06% ( 1.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.16% ( 1.41) | 32.83% ( -1.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.47% ( 1.62) | 54.52% ( -1.62) |
| Fatih Karagumruk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.88% ( 0.14) | 13.12% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 60.23% ( 0.28) | 39.76% ( -0.29) |
| Umraniyespor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.04% ( 1.56) | 23.96% ( -1.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.81% ( 2.19) | 58.19% ( -2.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fatih Karagumruk | Draw | Umraniyespor |
| 2-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 6.48% ( -0.43)1-0 @ 6.38% ( -0.46)3-1 @ 6.27% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 4.48% ( 0.14)3-0 @ 4.39% ( -0.26)4-1 @ 3.19% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 2.28% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 2.23% ( -0.12)5-1 @ 1.29% ( -0)4-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.09)5-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.36% Total : 51.53% | 1-1 @ 9.12% ( -0.22) 2-2 @ 6.62% ( 0.18)0-0 @ 3.14% ( -0.24)3-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.16)Other @ 0.44% Total : 21.45% | 1-2 @ 6.52% ( 0.14) 0-1 @ 4.49% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 3.21% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.22)1-3 @ 3.1% ( 0.2)0-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.09)2-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.13)1-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.12)Other @ 2.78% Total : 27.01% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | GalatasarayGalatasaray | 34 | 26 | 4 | 4 | 77 | 27 | 50 | 82 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 84 | 39 | 45 | 77 |
| 3 | BesiktasBesiktas | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 70 | 31 | 39 | 74 |
| 4 | Adana Demirspor | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 72 | 41 | 31 | 66 |
| 5 | Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 48 | 34 | 14 | 56 |
| 6 | TrabzonsporTrabzonspor | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 58 | 50 | 8 | 54 |
| 7 | KonyasporKonyaspor | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 49 |
| 8 | KayserisporKayserispor | 34 | 15 | 4 | 15 | 54 | 59 | -5 | 49 |
| 9 | Fatih KaragumrukKaragumruk | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 47 |
| 10 | KasimpasaKasimpasa | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 43 | 53 | -10 | 43 |
| 11 | AlanyasporAlanyaspor | 35 | 11 | 8 | 16 | 53 | 65 | -12 | 41 |
| 12 | SivassporSivasspor | 35 | 11 | 7 | 17 | 45 | 53 | -8 | 40 |
| 13 | AnkaragucuAnkaragucu | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 39 |
| 14 | AntalyasporAntalyaspor | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 43 | 53 | -10 | 38 |
| 15 | Istanbulspor | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 40 | 63 | -23 | 35 |
| 16 | Giresunspor | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 39 | 60 | -21 | 34 |
| 17 | UmraniyesporUmraniyespor | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 47 | 59 | -12 | 30 |
| 18 | GaziantepGaziantep | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 31 | 66 | -35 | 25 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 34 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 19 | 77 | -58 | 23 |
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