Although the visitors have enjoyed a number of victories in recent weeks, on Monday they will face a Besiktas side that have not lost a home league game since November, and we think that the hosts will utilise home advantage to edge out Kasimpasa.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 62.28%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 16.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.22%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.79%), while for a Kasimpasa win it was 0-1 (4.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
