SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maribor win with a probability of 56.19%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Rogaska had a probability of 21.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maribor win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Rogaska win it was 1-2 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Maribor in this match.
| Result | ||
| Maribor | Draw | Rogaska |
56.19% ( 0) | 22.15% ( -0) | 21.66% |
| Both teams to score 57.05% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.12% ( 0) | 41.88% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.72% ( 0) | 64.28% ( -0) |
| Maribor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.25% | 14.75% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 57.01% ( 0) | 42.99% |
| Rogaska Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.92% ( 0) | 33.08% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.33% ( 0) | 69.68% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Maribor | Draw | Rogaska |
| 2-1 @ 9.89% 1-0 @ 9.34% 2-0 @ 8.94% 3-1 @ 6.31% 3-0 @ 5.7% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.49% 4-1 @ 3.02% 4-0 @ 2.73% 4-2 @ 1.67% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.15% 5-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.92% Total : 56.19% | 1-1 @ 10.33% 2-2 @ 5.47% 0-0 @ 4.88% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.15% | 1-2 @ 5.72% 0-1 @ 5.4% 0-2 @ 2.99% 1-3 @ 2.11% 2-3 @ 2.02% 0-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.34% Total : 21.66% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Celje | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 34 | 12 | 22 | 38 |
| 2 | NK Olimpija LjubljanaLjubljana | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 19 | 13 | 33 |
| 3 | Koper | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 29 |
| 4 | Maribor | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 24 |
| 5 | NK BravoBravo | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 22 |
| 6 | NK DomzaleDomzale | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 20 |
| 7 | NS Mura | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 19 |
| 8 | Radomlje | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 16 |
| 9 | Aluminij | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 15 |
| 10 | Rogaska | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 12 | 33 | -21 | 11 |
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