Coverage of the Serie B clash between Ternana and Parma.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ternana win with a probability of 43.14%. A win for Parma had a probability of 32.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ternana win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.96%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Parma win was 1-2 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ternana would win this match.
