Serie B | Gameweek 22
Jan 28, 2023 at 1pm UK
Stadio Libero Liberati
Ternana
2 - 1
Modena
Ghiringhelli (7'),
Favilli (16')
Di Tacchio (28'), Agazzi (33'), Iannarilli (85'), Paghera (87'),
Corrado (88'), Paghera (88'), Mantovani (83')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Ternana and Modena.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ternana win with a probability of 44.25%. A win for Modena had a probability of 29.32% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ternana win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Modena win was 0-1 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ternana would win this match.
| Result |
| Ternana | Draw | Modena |
44.25% ( 0.02) | 26.43% ( 0.01) | 29.32% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 50.75% ( -0.03) |
| 46.31% ( -0.03) | 53.69% ( 0.03) |
| 24.82% ( -0.03) | 75.18% ( 0.03) |
| 75.87% ( -0) | 24.13% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.56% ( -0.01) | 58.44% ( 0.01) |
| 66.89% ( -0.04) | 33.11% ( 0.04) |
