SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reggiana win with a probability of 37.42%. A win for Sudtirol had a probability of 33.03% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reggiana win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.5%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Sudtirol win was 1-0 (12.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Reggiana would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sudtirol | Draw | Reggiana |
33.03% ( -0.05) | 29.55% ( -0.01) | 37.42% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 43.18% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.21% ( 0.02) | 63.79% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.96% ( 0.01) | 83.03% ( -0.01) |
| Sudtirol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.25% ( -0.03) | 35.75% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.48% ( -0.03) | 72.52% ( 0.03) |
| Reggiana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.2% ( 0.05) | 32.8% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.64% ( 0.05) | 69.36% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sudtirol | Draw | Reggiana |
| 1-0 @ 12.06% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.92% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.2% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.37% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.13% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.32% Other @ 2.03% Total : 33.03% | 1-1 @ 13.44% 0-0 @ 11.72% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.86% ( 0)Other @ 0.53% Total : 29.54% | 0-1 @ 13.07% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.5% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.29% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.79% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.43% ( 0)Other @ 2.64% Total : 37.42% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Parma | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 17 | 20 | 41 |
| 2 | Como | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 38 |
| 3 | Cittadella | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 36 |
| 4 | VeneziaVenezia | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 31 | 20 | 11 | 35 |
| 5 | CatanzaroCatanzaro | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 33 |
| 6 | Cremonese | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 16 | 12 | 32 |
| 7 | Palermo | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 32 |
| 8 | Brescia | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 28 |
| 9 | Modena | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 28 |
| 10 | BariBari | 20 | 5 | 11 | 4 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 26 |
| 11 | Reggiana | 20 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 24 |
| 12 | SudtirolSudtirol | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 23 |
| 13 | Sampdoria | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 23 |
| 14 | Pisa | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 23 |
| 15 | Cosenza CalcioCosenza | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 21 |
| 16 | Lecco | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 20 |
| 17 | Ternana | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 18 |
| 18 | AscoliAscoli | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 17 |
| 19 | SpeziaSpezia | 20 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 17 |
| 20 | FeralpiSaloFeralpiSalo | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 36 | -19 | 14 |
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