SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 46.91%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Cosenza Calcio had a probability of 25.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.2%) and 2-1 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%), while for a Cosenza Calcio win it was 0-1 (9.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Spezia | Draw | Cosenza Calcio |
46.91% ( 0.09) | 27.11% ( 0.01) | 25.98% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 46.59% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.03% ( -0.09) | 57.97% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.33% ( -0.07) | 78.67% ( 0.07) |
| Spezia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.26% ( 0) | 24.74% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.71% ( 0) | 59.29% ( -0) |
| Cosenza Calcio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.9% ( -0.13) | 38.1% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.13% ( -0.13) | 74.87% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Spezia | Draw | Cosenza Calcio |
| 1-0 @ 13.16% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 9.2% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 8.87% 3-0 @ 4.28% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.13% 3-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.44% Other @ 2.33% Total : 46.9% | 1-1 @ 12.7% 0-0 @ 9.43% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.7% Total : 27.11% | 0-1 @ 9.09% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.13% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.61% Total : 25.98% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Parma | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 29 | 13 | 16 | 33 |
| 2 | VeneziaVenezia | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 25 | 12 | 13 | 33 |
| 3 | CatanzaroCatanzaro | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 27 |
| 4 | Cremonese | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 12 | 9 | 26 |
| 5 | Modena | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 26 |
| 6 | Como | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 25 |
| 7 | Cittadella | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 25 |
| 8 | Palermo | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 13 | 7 | 24 |
| 9 | Cosenza CalcioCosenza | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 19 |
| 10 | BariBari | 14 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 18 |
| 11 | Pisa | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 18 |
| 12 | SudtirolSudtirol | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 17 |
| 13 | Sampdoria | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 16 |
| 14 | Reggiana | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 16 |
| 15 | Brescia | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 15 |
| 16 | AscoliAscoli | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 13 |
| 17 | Lecco | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 13 |
| 18 | Ternana | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 11 |
| 19 | SpeziaSpezia | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 10 |
| 20 | FeralpiSaloFeralpiSalo | 15 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 29 | -19 | 7 |
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