Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 40.57%. A win for Palermo had a probability of 32.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (7.21%). The likeliest Palermo win was 1-0 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Palermo | Draw | Parma |
32.79% ( -0.64) | 26.63% ( -0.09) | 40.57% ( 0.74) |
Both teams to score 51.56% ( 0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.68% ( 0.23) | 53.32% ( -0.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.13% ( 0.19) | 74.86% ( -0.2) |
Palermo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.53% ( -0.31) | 30.47% ( 0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.32% ( -0.37) | 66.68% ( 0.37) |
Parma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.15% ( 0.5) | 25.84% ( -0.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.18% ( 0.67) | 60.81% ( -0.68) |
Score Analysis |
Palermo | Draw | Parma |
1-0 @ 9.36% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 7.53% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 5.56% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 2.98% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 2.2% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.15% Total : 32.79% | 1-1 @ 12.66% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.87% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.63% | 0-1 @ 10.65% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 8.57% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 7.21% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 3.86% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 3.25% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.31% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.33% Total : 40.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 49 | 20 | 29 | 63 |
2 | Genoa | 31 | 17 | 9 | 5 | 40 | 19 | 21 | 59 |
3 | BariBari | 31 | 14 | 11 | 6 | 47 | 28 | 19 | 53 |
4 | SudtirolSudtirol | 31 | 13 | 13 | 5 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 52 |
5 | CagliariCagliari | 31 | 11 | 13 | 7 | 39 | 30 | 9 | 46 |
6 | Pisa | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 42 | 30 | 12 | 45 |
7 | Parma | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 44 |
8 | RegginaReggina | 30 | 13 | 3 | 14 | 39 | 36 | 3 | 42 |
9 | Palermo | 31 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 39 | 39 | 0 | 42 |
10 | Ternana | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 40 |
11 | Como | 31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 39 |
12 | AscoliAscoli | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 39 |
13 | Modena | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 41 | 43 | -2 | 38 |
14 | VeneziaVenezia | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 36 |
15 | Cittadella | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 35 |
16 | Cosenza CalcioCosenza | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 26 | 47 | -21 | 35 |
17 | Perugia | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 34 |
18 | SPALSPAL | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 29 |
19 | BeneventoBenevento | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 29 |
20 | Brescia | 31 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 26 | 48 | -22 | 28 |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups: