SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reggiana win with a probability of 44.35%. A win for FeralpiSalo had a probability of 28.17% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reggiana win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (8.56%). The likeliest FeralpiSalo win was 1-0 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Reggiana would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FeralpiSalo | Draw | Reggiana |
28.17% ( 0.28) | 27.47% ( 0.05) | 44.35% ( -0.32) |
| Both teams to score 47.06% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.89% ( -0.03) | 58.11% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.22% ( -0.03) | 78.78% ( 0.03) |
| FeralpiSalo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.65% ( 0.21) | 36.35% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.86% ( 0.21) | 73.14% ( -0.21) |
| Reggiana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.93% ( -0.18) | 26.07% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.89% ( -0.24) | 61.11% ( 0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| FeralpiSalo | Draw | Reggiana |
| 1-0 @ 9.59% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 6.52% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 4.85% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 2.2% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.48% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.89% Total : 28.17% | 1-1 @ 12.89% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.48% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.39% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.47% | 0-1 @ 12.74% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.67% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 8.56% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 3.88% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 3.84% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.1% Total : 44.35% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Parma | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 29 | 13 | 16 | 33 |
| 2 | VeneziaVenezia | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 25 | 12 | 13 | 33 |
| 3 | CatanzaroCatanzaro | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 27 |
| 4 | Cremonese | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 12 | 9 | 26 |
| 5 | Modena | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 26 |
| 6 | Como | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 25 |
| 7 | Cittadella | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 25 |
| 8 | Palermo | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 13 | 7 | 24 |
| 9 | Cosenza CalcioCosenza | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 19 |
| 10 | BariBari | 14 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 18 |
| 11 | Pisa | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 18 |
| 12 | SudtirolSudtirol | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 17 |
| 13 | Sampdoria | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 16 |
| 14 | Reggiana | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 16 |
| 15 | Brescia | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 15 |
| 16 | AscoliAscoli | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 13 |
| 17 | Lecco | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 13 |
| 18 | Ternana | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 11 |
| 19 | SpeziaSpezia | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 10 |
| 20 | FeralpiSaloFeralpiSalo | 15 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 29 | -19 | 7 |
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