SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 53.59%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Sudtirol had a probability of 20.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.18%) and 2-1 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for a Sudtirol win it was 0-1 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cremonese | Draw | Sudtirol |
53.59% ( -0.18) | 26.19% ( 0.15) | 20.22% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 43.06% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.6% ( -0.46) | 59.4% ( 0.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.22% ( -0.36) | 79.78% ( 0.35) |
| Cremonese Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.67% ( -0.27) | 22.32% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.2% ( -0.4) | 55.8% ( 0.4) |
| Sudtirol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.43% ( -0.24) | 44.57% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 19.41% ( -0.2) | 80.59% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cremonese | Draw | Sudtirol |
| 1-0 @ 14.91% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 11.18% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.04% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 5.59% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.52% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 2.1% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.69% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.72% Total : 53.58% | 1-1 @ 12.05% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9.95% ( 0.17)2-2 @ 3.65% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.53% Total : 26.18% | 0-1 @ 8.04% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.25% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.76% Total : 20.22% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Parma | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 29 | 13 | 16 | 33 |
| 2 | VeneziaVenezia | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 25 | 12 | 13 | 33 |
| 3 | CatanzaroCatanzaro | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 27 |
| 4 | Cremonese | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 12 | 9 | 26 |
| 5 | Modena | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 26 |
| 6 | Como | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 25 |
| 7 | Cittadella | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 25 |
| 8 | Palermo | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 13 | 7 | 24 |
| 9 | Cosenza CalcioCosenza | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 19 |
| 10 | BariBari | 14 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 18 |
| 11 | Pisa | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 18 |
| 12 | SudtirolSudtirol | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 17 |
| 13 | Sampdoria | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 16 |
| 14 | Reggiana | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 16 |
| 15 | Brescia | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 15 |
| 16 | AscoliAscoli | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 13 |
| 17 | Lecco | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 13 |
| 18 | Ternana | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 11 |
| 19 | SpeziaSpezia | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 10 |
| 20 | FeralpiSaloFeralpiSalo | 15 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 29 | -19 | 7 |
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