SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 59.73%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Palermo had a probability of 17.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.9%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a Palermo win it was 0-1 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cagliari would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cagliari | Draw | Palermo |
59.73% ( -0.01) | 22.35% ( 0) | 17.92% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 50.17% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.03% ( 0) | 47.97% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.86% ( 0) | 70.15% |
| Cagliari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.33% ( -0) | 15.67% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 55.29% ( -0) | 44.71% ( 0) |
| Palermo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.5% ( 0.01) | 40.51% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 22.89% ( 0) | 77.11% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cagliari | Draw | Palermo |
| 1-0 @ 11.76% 2-0 @ 10.9% 2-1 @ 9.85% 3-0 @ 6.74% ( -0)3-1 @ 6.09% 4-0 @ 3.12% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.82% 3-2 @ 2.75% 4-2 @ 1.27% 5-0 @ 1.16% 5-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.22% Total : 59.72% | 1-1 @ 10.63% 0-0 @ 6.35% 2-2 @ 4.45% ( 0)Other @ 0.92% Total : 22.35% | 0-1 @ 5.74% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.8% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.59% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.45% 2-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 2% Total : 17.92% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 63 | 26 | 37 | 80 |
| P | Genoa | 38 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 53 | 28 | 25 | 73 |
| 3 | BariBari | 38 | 17 | 14 | 7 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 65 |
| 4 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 60 |
| 5 | Parma | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 48 | 39 | 9 | 60 |
| 6 | SudtirolSudtirol | 38 | 14 | 16 | 8 | 38 | 34 | 4 | 58 |
| 7 | RegginaReggina | 38 | 17 | 4 | 17 | 49 | 45 | 4 | 50 |
| 8 | VeneziaVenezia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 49 |
| 9 | Palermo | 38 | 11 | 16 | 11 | 48 | 49 | -1 | 49 |
| 10 | Modena | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 47 | 53 | -6 | 48 |
| 11 | Pisa | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 48 | 42 | 6 | 47 |
| 12 | Como | 38 | 10 | 17 | 11 | 47 | 48 | -1 | 47 |
| 13 | AscoliAscoli | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 40 | 47 | -7 | 47 |
| 14 | Cittadella | 38 | 9 | 16 | 13 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 43 |
| 15 | Ternana | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 37 | 52 | -15 | 43 |
| R | Brescia | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 36 | 57 | -21 | 40 |
| 17 | Cosenza CalcioCosenza | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 30 | 53 | -23 | 40 |
| R | Perugia | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 39 |
| R | SPALSPAL | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 38 |
| R | BeneventoBenevento | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 33 | 49 | -16 | 35 |
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