SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 39.74%. A win for Brescia had a probability of 31.14% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.85%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Brescia win was 1-0 (11.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bari would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brescia | Draw | Bari |
31.14% ( 0.03) | 29.13% ( 0.03) | 39.74% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 43.88% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.27% ( -0.07) | 62.73% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.73% ( -0.05) | 82.27% ( 0.06) |
| Brescia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.44% ( -0.02) | 36.56% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.65% ( -0.02) | 73.34% ( 0.02) |
| Bari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.17% ( -0.07) | 30.83% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.89% ( -0.08) | 67.1% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brescia | Draw | Bari |
| 1-0 @ 11.34% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 6.72% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.71% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.25% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.91% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.33% ( -0)Other @ 1.88% Total : 31.14% | 1-1 @ 13.34% 0-0 @ 11.27% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 3.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.56% Total : 29.12% | 0-1 @ 13.26% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.85% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.8% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.06% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.22% Total : 39.73% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Parma | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 29 | 13 | 16 | 33 |
| 2 | VeneziaVenezia | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 25 | 12 | 13 | 33 |
| 3 | CatanzaroCatanzaro | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 27 |
| 4 | Cremonese | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 12 | 9 | 26 |
| 5 | Modena | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 26 |
| 6 | Como | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 25 |
| 7 | Cittadella | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 25 |
| 8 | Palermo | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 13 | 7 | 24 |
| 9 | Cosenza CalcioCosenza | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 19 |
| 10 | BariBari | 14 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 18 |
| 11 | Pisa | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 18 |
| 12 | SudtirolSudtirol | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 17 |
| 13 | Sampdoria | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 16 |
| 14 | Reggiana | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 16 |
| 15 | Brescia | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 15 |
| 16 | AscoliAscoli | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 13 |
| 17 | Lecco | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 13 |
| 18 | Ternana | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 11 |
| 19 | SpeziaSpezia | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 10 |
| 20 | FeralpiSaloFeralpiSalo | 15 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 29 | -19 | 7 |
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