SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ascoli win with a probability of 39.48%. A win for Parma had a probability of 33.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ascoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Parma win was 0-1 (9.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ascoli | Draw | Parma |
39.48% ( 0.15) | 26.73% ( -0) | 33.79% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 51.49% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.48% ( -0.02) | 53.52% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.96% ( -0.02) | 75.03% ( 0.02) |
| Ascoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.47% ( 0.07) | 26.53% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.27% ( 0.1) | 61.73% ( -0.1) |
| Parma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.08% ( -0.11) | 29.91% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.98% ( -0.13) | 66.01% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ascoli | Draw | Parma |
| 1-0 @ 10.53% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.43% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.99% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.73% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.09% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.25% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.19% Total : 39.48% | 1-1 @ 12.7% 0-0 @ 7.94% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.09% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.73% | 0-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.67% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.09% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.38% Total : 33.79% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Parma | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 38 | 18 | 20 | 42 |
| 2 | VeneziaVenezia | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 23 | 13 | 38 |
| 3 | Como | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 38 |
| 4 | Cittadella | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 36 |
| 5 | Cremonese | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 29 | 16 | 13 | 35 |
| 6 | CatanzaroCatanzaro | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 33 |
| 7 | Palermo | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 32 |
| 8 | Brescia | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 28 |
| 9 | Modena | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 28 |
| 10 | BariBari | 20 | 5 | 11 | 4 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 26 |
| 11 | Reggiana | 20 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 24 |
| 12 | SudtirolSudtirol | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 23 |
| 13 | Sampdoria | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 23 |
| 14 | Pisa | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 23 |
| 15 | Cosenza CalcioCosenza | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 21 |
| 16 | Lecco | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 20 |
| 17 | Ternana | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 18 |
| 18 | AscoliAscoli | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 18 |
| 19 | SpeziaSpezia | 20 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 17 |
| 20 | FeralpiSaloFeralpiSalo | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 36 | -19 | 14 |
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