SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Andorra win with a probability of 37.17%. A win for UD Ibiza had a probability of 35.43% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Andorra win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.03%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest UD Ibiza win was 1-0 (10.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for FC Andorra in this match.
| Result | ||
| UD Ibiza | Draw | FC Andorra |
35.43% ( 0.46) | 27.4% ( -0.54) | 37.17% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 49.62% ( 1.66) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.01% ( 2.06) | 55.98% ( -2.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.92% ( 1.65) | 77.08% ( -1.65) |
| UD Ibiza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.91% ( 1.32) | 30.09% ( -1.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.77% ( 1.56) | 66.23% ( -1.57) |
| FC Andorra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.97% ( 1.05) | 29.03% ( -1.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.07% ( 1.29) | 64.93% ( -1.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| UD Ibiza | Draw | FC Andorra |
| 1-0 @ 10.49% ( -0.45) 2-1 @ 7.79% ( 0.18)2-0 @ 6.3% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.12% ( 0.18)3-0 @ 2.52% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 1.93% ( 0.17)4-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.35% Total : 35.43% | 1-1 @ 12.97% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 8.73% ( -0.72)2-2 @ 4.82% ( 0.25)Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.4% | 0-1 @ 10.8% ( -0.55) 1-2 @ 8.03% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 6.68% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 3.31% ( 0.15)0-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.16)1-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.58% Total : 37.16% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | EibarEibar | 31 | 17 | 8 | 6 | 34 | 23 | 11 | 59 |
| 2 | Granada | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 43 | 23 | 20 | 58 |
| 3 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 32 | 15 | 13 | 4 | 38 | 21 | 17 | 58 |
| 4 | Levante | 32 | 14 | 14 | 4 | 35 | 22 | 13 | 56 |
| 5 | AlavesAlaves | 31 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 39 | 26 | 13 | 54 |
| 6 | Albacete | 32 | 13 | 12 | 7 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 51 |
| 7 | Burgos | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 45 |
| 8 | CartagenaCartagena | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 34 | 31 | 3 | 44 |
| 9 | Huesca | 31 | 9 | 14 | 8 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 41 |
| 10 | Villarreal II | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 41 |
| 11 | TenerifeTenerife | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 41 |
| 12 | FC AndorraFC Andorra | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 33 | 29 | 4 | 40 |
| 13 | MirandesMirandes | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 36 | 38 | -2 | 40 |
| 14 | Leganes | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 40 |
| 15 | Real Oviedo | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 39 |
| 16 | Real ZaragozaZaragoza | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 38 |
| 17 | Racing de SantanderRacing | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 37 |
| 18 | Sporting GijonSporting Gijon | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 36 |
| 19 | PonferradinaPonferradina | 31 | 6 | 12 | 13 | 26 | 40 | -14 | 30 |
| 20 | Malaga | 32 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 26 | 37 | -11 | 27 |
| 21 | UD Ibiza | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 25 | 48 | -23 | 25 |
| 22 | LugoLugo | 31 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 20 | 41 | -21 | 24 |
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