SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tenerife win with a probability of 55.11%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for UD Ibiza had a probability of 19.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tenerife win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.5%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%), while for a UD Ibiza win it was 0-1 (7.67%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tenerife would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tenerife | Draw | UD Ibiza |
55.11% ( 0.32) | 25.65% ( -0.23) | 19.23% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 43.07% ( 0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.37% ( 0.66) | 58.63% ( -0.66) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.82% ( 0.51) | 79.18% ( -0.51) |
| Tenerife Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.63% ( 0.4) | 21.36% ( -0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.66% ( 0.62) | 54.34% ( -0.62) |
| UD Ibiza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.77% ( 0.28) | 45.23% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 18.88% ( 0.22) | 81.11% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tenerife | Draw | UD Ibiza |
| 1-0 @ 14.91% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 11.5% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.13% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 5.92% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 4.7% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 2.29% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.81% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.98% Total : 55.1% | 1-1 @ 11.83% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 9.66% ( -0.24)2-2 @ 3.62% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.53% Total : 25.65% | 0-1 @ 7.67% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.63% Total : 19.23% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Granada | 41 | 21 | 9 | 11 | 53 | 30 | 23 | 72 |
| 2 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 41 | 18 | 17 | 6 | 49 | 29 | 20 | 71 |
| 3 | AlavesAlaves | 41 | 19 | 13 | 9 | 47 | 33 | 14 | 70 |
| 4 | Levante | 41 | 17 | 18 | 6 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 69 |
| 5 | EibarEibar | 41 | 18 | 14 | 9 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 68 |
| 6 | Albacete | 42 | 17 | 16 | 9 | 58 | 47 | 11 | 67 |
| 7 | FC AndorraFC Andorra | 42 | 16 | 11 | 15 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
| 8 | Real Oviedo | 41 | 16 | 11 | 14 | 33 | 33 | 0 | 59 |
| 9 | CartagenaCartagena | 41 | 16 | 10 | 15 | 46 | 46 | 0 | 58 |
| 10 | TenerifeTenerife | 42 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 42 | 37 | 5 | 57 |
| 11 | Burgos | 42 | 13 | 15 | 14 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 54 |
| 12 | Real ZaragozaZaragoza | 42 | 12 | 17 | 13 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 53 |
| 13 | Leganes | 41 | 14 | 11 | 16 | 37 | 40 | -3 | 53 |
| 14 | Huesca | 41 | 11 | 19 | 11 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 52 |
| 15 | MirandesMirandes | 42 | 13 | 13 | 16 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 52 |
| 16 | Racing de SantanderRacing | 41 | 13 | 12 | 16 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 51 |
| 17 | Sporting GijonSporting Gijon | 41 | 11 | 17 | 13 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 50 |
| 18 | Villarreal II | 42 | 13 | 11 | 18 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 50 |
| 19 | Malaga | 42 | 10 | 14 | 18 | 37 | 44 | -7 | 44 |
| 20 | PonferradinaPonferradina | 41 | 8 | 17 | 16 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 41 |
| R | UD Ibiza | 42 | 7 | 13 | 22 | 33 | 66 | -33 | 34 |
| R | LugoLugo | 42 | 6 | 13 | 23 | 27 | 57 | -30 | 31 |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
