Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 42.08%. A win for Real Zaragoza had a probability of 29.58% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Real Zaragoza win was 0-1 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
