MX23RW : Monday, January 30 14:44:47
SM
Derby vs. West Ham: 5 hrs
Jan 29, 2021 at 8pm UK at Estadio de La Romareda
Zaragoza
1 - 0
Ponferradina
Narvaez (41' pen.)
Eguaras (45+1'), Alegria (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Valcarce (15')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Real Zaragoza and Ponferradina.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 43.4%. A draw had a probability of 30.6% and a win for Ponferradina had a probability of 25.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.24%) and 2-1 (7.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.06%), while for a Ponferradina win it was 0-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Real Zaragoza in this match.

Result
Real ZaragozaDrawPonferradina
43.4%30.61%25.99%
Both teams to score 38.03%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
31.3%68.7%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
13.6%86.4%
Real Zaragoza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.23%31.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.8%68.2%
Ponferradina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.74%44.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.67%80.33%
Score Analysis
    Real Zaragoza 43.4%
    Ponferradina 25.99%
    Draw 30.61%
Real ZaragozaDrawPonferradina
1-0 @ 16.12%
2-0 @ 9.24%
2-1 @ 7.54%
3-0 @ 3.53%
3-1 @ 2.88%
3-2 @ 1.17%
4-0 @ 1.01%
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 43.4%
0-0 @ 14.06%
1-1 @ 13.14%
2-2 @ 3.07%
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 30.61%
0-1 @ 11.46%
1-2 @ 5.36%
0-2 @ 4.67%
1-3 @ 1.46%
0-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 25.99%

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Segunda Division Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Las PalmasLas Palmas25139330151548
2EibarEibar25138428181047
3Levante251111329171244
4AlavesAlaves2512762922743
5Albacete2511953226642
6Granada25125830181241
7Burgos2510962215739
8Leganes259882523235
9CartagenaCartagena259792525034
10Villarreal II259792931-234
11FC AndorraFC Andorra2595112623332
12Sporting GijonSporting Gijon2571172425-132
13TenerifeTenerife2571082526-131
14Huesca2571081921-231
15Real Oviedo2587101620-431
16MirandesMirandes257992932-330
17Real ZaragozaZaragoza247892122-129
18Racing de SantanderRacing2568111722-526
19PonferradinaPonferradina2467112231-925
20Malaga25410111929-1022
21LugoLugo2556141933-1421
22UD Ibiza2545161739-2217
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