SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Oviedo win with a probability of 39.41%. A draw had a probability of 30.8% and a win for Real Zaragoza had a probability of 29.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Oviedo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.08%) and 2-1 (7.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.77%), while for a Real Zaragoza win it was 0-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Oviedo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Oviedo | Draw | Real Zaragoza |
39.41% ( -0.09) | 30.83% ( 0.29) | 29.76% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 39.23% ( -0.75) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 31.85% ( -0.86) | 68.15% ( 0.86) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.97% ( -0.58) | 86.03% ( 0.57) |
| Real Oviedo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.14% ( -0.52) | 33.86% ( 0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.48% ( -0.57) | 70.52% ( 0.56) |
| Real Zaragoza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.31% ( -0.66) | 40.69% ( 0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 22.72% ( -0.6) | 77.28% ( 0.59) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Oviedo | Draw | Real Zaragoza |
| 1-0 @ 14.92% ( 0.26) 2-0 @ 8.08% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 7.27% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 2.92% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.62% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.43% Total : 39.41% | 0-0 @ 13.77% ( 0.43) 1-1 @ 13.41% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.38% Total : 30.82% | 0-1 @ 12.38% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 6.03% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 5.57% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.31% Total : 29.75% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Granada | 41 | 21 | 9 | 11 | 53 | 30 | 23 | 72 |
| 2 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 41 | 18 | 17 | 6 | 49 | 29 | 20 | 71 |
| 3 | AlavesAlaves | 41 | 19 | 13 | 9 | 47 | 33 | 14 | 70 |
| 4 | Levante | 41 | 17 | 18 | 6 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 69 |
| 5 | EibarEibar | 41 | 18 | 14 | 9 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 68 |
| 6 | Albacete | 42 | 17 | 16 | 9 | 58 | 47 | 11 | 67 |
| 7 | FC AndorraFC Andorra | 42 | 16 | 11 | 15 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
| 8 | Real Oviedo | 41 | 16 | 11 | 14 | 33 | 33 | 0 | 59 |
| 9 | CartagenaCartagena | 41 | 16 | 10 | 15 | 46 | 46 | 0 | 58 |
| 10 | TenerifeTenerife | 42 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 42 | 37 | 5 | 57 |
| 11 | Burgos | 42 | 13 | 15 | 14 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 54 |
| 12 | Real ZaragozaZaragoza | 42 | 12 | 17 | 13 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 53 |
| 13 | Leganes | 41 | 14 | 11 | 16 | 37 | 40 | -3 | 53 |
| 14 | Huesca | 41 | 11 | 19 | 11 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 52 |
| 15 | MirandesMirandes | 42 | 13 | 13 | 16 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 52 |
| 16 | Racing de SantanderRacing | 41 | 13 | 12 | 16 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 51 |
| 17 | Sporting GijonSporting Gijon | 41 | 11 | 17 | 13 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 50 |
| 18 | Villarreal II | 42 | 13 | 11 | 18 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 50 |
| 19 | Malaga | 42 | 10 | 14 | 18 | 37 | 44 | -7 | 44 |
| 20 | PonferradinaPonferradina | 41 | 8 | 17 | 16 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 41 |
| R | UD Ibiza | 42 | 7 | 13 | 22 | 33 | 66 | -33 | 34 |
| R | LugoLugo | 42 | 6 | 13 | 23 | 27 | 57 | -30 | 31 |
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