SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huesca win with a probability of 40.01%. A draw had a probability of 31.2% and a win for Burgos had a probability of 28.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huesca win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.32%) and 2-1 (7.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.37%), while for a Burgos win it was 0-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Huesca would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Huesca | Draw | Burgos |
40.01% ( -0.2) | 31.18% ( 0.04) | 28.81% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 38.12% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 30.69% ( -0.07) | 69.31% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.21% ( -0.05) | 86.79% ( 0.05) |
| Huesca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.89% ( -0.16) | 34.11% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.2% ( -0.18) | 70.8% ( 0.18) |
| Burgos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.85% ( 0.09) | 42.15% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 21.43% ( 0.07) | 78.57% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Huesca | Draw | Burgos |
| 1-0 @ 15.46% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.32% ( -0.05)2-1 @ 7.18% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.98% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.58% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.38% Total : 40.01% | 0-0 @ 14.37% ( 0.04) 1-1 @ 13.36% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.1% ( -0)Other @ 0.34% Total : 31.17% | 0-1 @ 12.42% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 5.77% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.04% Total : 28.81% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Granada | 41 | 21 | 9 | 11 | 53 | 30 | 23 | 72 |
| 2 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 41 | 18 | 17 | 6 | 49 | 29 | 20 | 71 |
| 3 | AlavesAlaves | 41 | 19 | 13 | 9 | 47 | 33 | 14 | 70 |
| 4 | Levante | 41 | 17 | 18 | 6 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 69 |
| 5 | EibarEibar | 41 | 18 | 14 | 9 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 68 |
| 6 | Albacete | 41 | 16 | 16 | 9 | 56 | 46 | 10 | 64 |
| 7 | CartagenaCartagena | 41 | 16 | 10 | 15 | 46 | 46 | 0 | 58 |
| 8 | Real Oviedo | 40 | 15 | 11 | 14 | 32 | 33 | -1 | 56 |
| 9 | FC AndorraFC Andorra | 40 | 15 | 10 | 15 | 42 | 33 | 9 | 55 |
| 10 | Burgos | 40 | 13 | 15 | 12 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 54 |
| 11 | TenerifeTenerife | 40 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 39 | 35 | 4 | 53 |
| 12 | Real ZaragozaZaragoza | 41 | 12 | 16 | 13 | 39 | 38 | 1 | 52 |
| 13 | Huesca | 41 | 11 | 19 | 11 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 52 |
| 14 | Leganes | 40 | 14 | 10 | 16 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 52 |
| 15 | MirandesMirandes | 41 | 13 | 13 | 15 | 47 | 52 | -5 | 52 |
| 16 | Racing de SantanderRacing | 40 | 13 | 12 | 15 | 36 | 38 | -2 | 51 |
| 17 | Sporting GijonSporting Gijon | 41 | 11 | 17 | 13 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 50 |
| 18 | Villarreal II | 41 | 13 | 11 | 17 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 50 |
| 19 | Malaga | 41 | 10 | 13 | 18 | 36 | 43 | -7 | 43 |
| 20 | PonferradinaPonferradina | 41 | 8 | 17 | 16 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 41 |
| R | UD Ibiza | 41 | 7 | 12 | 22 | 32 | 65 | -33 | 33 |
| R | LugoLugo | 41 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 26 | 57 | -31 | 28 |
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