SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 56.51%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Malaga had a probability of 18.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.84%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for a Malaga win it was 0-1 (7.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Granada in this match.
| Result | ||
| Granada | Draw | Malaga |
56.51% ( -0.25) | 25.19% ( 0.13) | 18.3% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 42.83% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.85% ( -0.27) | 58.16% ( 0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.19% ( -0.21) | 78.81% ( 0.21) |
| Granada Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.4% ( -0.21) | 20.61% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.85% ( -0.33) | 53.16% ( 0.33) |
| Malaga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.94% ( 0.01) | 46.06% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 18.24% ( 0) | 81.77% |
| Score Analysis |
| Granada | Draw | Malaga |
| 1-0 @ 14.99% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 11.84% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 9.18% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 6.24% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 4.83% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 2.46% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.91% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.19% Total : 56.51% | 1-1 @ 11.62% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 9.49% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.52% Total : 25.19% | 0-1 @ 7.36% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.85% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.16% ( 0)2-3 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 1.5% Total : 18.3% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | EibarEibar | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 64 |
| 2 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 34 | 16 | 14 | 4 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 62 |
| 3 | Granada | 35 | 18 | 7 | 10 | 44 | 25 | 19 | 61 |
| 4 | AlavesAlaves | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 60 |
| 5 | Levante | 34 | 15 | 15 | 4 | 37 | 23 | 14 | 60 |
| 6 | Albacete | 35 | 13 | 13 | 9 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 52 |
| 7 | CartagenaCartagena | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 41 | 37 | 4 | 50 |
| 8 | Burgos | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 49 |
| 9 | Villarreal II | 35 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 40 | 43 | -3 | 46 |
| 10 | FC AndorraFC Andorra | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 44 |
| 11 | Sporting GijonSporting Gijon | 35 | 10 | 14 | 11 | 35 | 36 | -1 | 44 |
| 12 | Real ZaragozaZaragoza | 35 | 10 | 14 | 11 | 30 | 32 | -2 | 44 |
| 13 | Huesca | 34 | 9 | 16 | 9 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 43 |
| 14 | TenerifeTenerife | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 32 | 33 | -1 | 43 |
| 15 | MirandesMirandes | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 40 | 43 | -3 | 42 |
| 16 | Racing de SantanderRacing | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 31 | 33 | -2 | 41 |
| 17 | Real Oviedo | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 40 |
| 18 | Leganes | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 40 |
| 19 | PonferradinaPonferradina | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 35 |
| 20 | Malaga | 35 | 7 | 12 | 16 | 30 | 39 | -9 | 33 |
| 21 | UD Ibiza | 35 | 6 | 11 | 18 | 30 | 53 | -23 | 29 |
| 22 | LugoLugo | 35 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 21 | 44 | -23 | 27 |
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