Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cadiz win with a probability of 39.76%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 30.69% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cadiz win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.91%) and 2-1 (7.73%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (11.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
