Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Annan Athletic win with a probability of 47%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 28.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Annan Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.37%) and 0-2 (7.86%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 1-0 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Annan Athletic would win this match.
