SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Annan Athletic win with a probability of 48.41%. A win for Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic had a probability of 27.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Annan Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win was 1-2 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Annan Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Annan Athletic | Draw | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic |
48.41% ( 0.27) | 23.74% ( -0.12) | 27.84% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 58.47% ( 0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.87% ( 0.45) | 43.12% ( -0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.47% ( 0.44) | 65.52% ( -0.44) |
| Annan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.03% ( 0.28) | 17.97% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 51.19% ( 0.48) | 48.81% ( -0.47) |
| Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.28% ( 0.13) | 28.72% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.45% ( 0.16) | 64.55% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Annan Athletic | Draw | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic |
| 2-1 @ 9.49% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.86% ( -0.1)2-0 @ 7.6% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.43% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 4.35% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.39% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 2.33% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.87% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.65% Total : 48.42% | 1-1 @ 11.05% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 5.16% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.74% | 1-2 @ 6.89% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.44% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 4.02% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.87% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.5% Total : 27.84% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Stirling AlbionStirling | 35 | 21 | 10 | 4 | 67 | 35 | 32 | 73 |
| 2 | Dumbarton | 35 | 18 | 7 | 10 | 48 | 38 | 10 | 61 |
| 3 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 60 | 49 | 11 | 51 |
| 4 | East FifeEast Fife | 35 | 14 | 8 | 13 | 54 | 49 | 5 | 50 |
| 5 | Forfar AthleticForfar | 35 | 12 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 43 | -7 | 45 |
| 6 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 35 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 44 |
| 7 | StranraerStranraer | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 42 | 56 | -14 | 44 |
| 8 | Elgin CityElgin | 35 | 11 | 7 | 17 | 44 | 59 | -15 | 40 |
| 9 | Bonnyrigg Rose AthleticBonnyrigg Rose | 35 | 10 | 9 | 16 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 39 |
| 10 | Albion RoversAlbion Rovers | 35 | 10 | 6 | 19 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 36 |
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