Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cove Rangers win with a probability of 45.57%. A win for Falkirk had a probability of 29.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cove Rangers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.12%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Falkirk win was 2-1 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cove Rangers would win this match.
