Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 39.15%. A win for Peterhead had a probability of 37.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.94%) and 2-0 (5.51%). The likeliest Peterhead win was 1-2 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alloa Athletic would win this match.
