Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cove Rangers win with a probability of 39.33%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 34.72% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cove Rangers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.64%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Alloa Athletic | Draw | Cove Rangers |
34.72% ( 0.12) | 25.95% ( 0.02) | 39.33% ( -0.13) |
Both teams to score 54.23% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.9% ( -0.04) | 50.1% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.93% ( -0.04) | 72.07% ( 0.04) |
Alloa Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.34% ( 0.05) | 27.66% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.79% ( 0.06) | 63.21% ( -0.06) |
Cove Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.96% ( -0.09) | 25.04% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.29% ( -0.12) | 59.71% ( 0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Alloa Athletic | Draw | Cove Rangers |
1-0 @ 8.9% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.92% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.72% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.39% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.45% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.9% Total : 34.72% | 1-1 @ 12.32% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.93% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.48% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.94% | 0-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.53% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.64% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.94% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.6% Total : 39.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 28 | 7 | 21 | 29 |
2 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 22 | 5 | 17 | 27 |
3 | Kelty Hearts | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 17 |
4 | Montrose | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 15 |
5 | Stirling AlbionStirling | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 14 |
6 | Cove Rangers | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 13 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 12 |
8 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 11 |
9 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 8 |
10 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 6 |
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