SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Annan Athletic win with a probability of 38.38%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 35.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Annan Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.36%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 1-0 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dumbarton | Draw | Annan Athletic |
35.86% ( -0.19) | 25.76% ( 0.02) | 38.38% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 55% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.82% ( -0.09) | 49.17% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.76% ( -0.08) | 71.24% ( 0.08) |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.46% ( -0.15) | 26.54% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.25% ( -0.2) | 61.75% ( 0.2) |
| Annan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.87% ( 0.06) | 25.12% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.17% ( 0.08) | 59.83% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dumbarton | Draw | Annan Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 8.85% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.1% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 5.87% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.58% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.59% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.2% Total : 35.86% | 1-1 @ 12.21% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.67% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.6% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.75% | 0-1 @ 9.21% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 8.44% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 6.36% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.89% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.93% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.58% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.62% Total : 38.38% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Manchester CityMan City | 35 | 27 | 4 | 4 | 92 | 31 | 61 | 85 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 36 | 25 | 6 | 5 | 83 | 42 | 41 | 81 |
| 3 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 36 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 67 | 32 | 35 | 69 |
| 4 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 35 | 20 | 6 | 9 | 51 | 41 | 10 | 66 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 36 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 65 |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 35 | 17 | 7 | 11 | 67 | 49 | 18 | 58 |
| 7 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 65 | 59 | 6 | 57 |
| 8 | Aston Villa | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 57 |
| 9 | Brentford | 36 | 13 | 14 | 9 | 54 | 45 | 9 | 53 |
| 10 | Fulham | 36 | 15 | 6 | 15 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 51 |
| 11 | Chelsea | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 43 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 43 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 36 | 11 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 52 | -22 | 40 |
| 14 | Bournemouth | 36 | 11 | 6 | 19 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 39 |
| 15 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 36 | 10 | 7 | 19 | 38 | 52 | -14 | 37 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 67 | -31 | 34 |
| 17 | Everton | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 32 | 56 | -24 | 32 |
| 18 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 46 | 71 | -25 | 31 |
| 19 | Leicester CityLeicester | 36 | 8 | 6 | 22 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 30 |
| R | Southampton | 36 | 6 | 6 | 24 | 31 | 66 | -35 | 24 |
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