Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 50.09%. A win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 26.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.52%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Edinburgh City win was 2-1 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamilton Academical would win this match.
