SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 45.3%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 29.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Inverness Caledonian Thistle would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Falkirk | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
45.3% ( -0) | 24.87% ( -0) | 29.84% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 56.03% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.05% ( 0.02) | 46.95% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.8% ( 0.02) | 69.2% ( -0.03) |
| Falkirk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.22% ( 0.01) | 20.78% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.57% ( 0.02) | 53.43% ( -0.02) |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.73% ( 0.02) | 29.27% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.77% ( 0.02) | 65.23% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Falkirk | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
| 1-0 @ 9.56% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.22% 2-0 @ 7.51% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.83% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.93% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.97% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.9% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.54% 4-2 @ 1.17% ( 0)Other @ 2.68% Total : 45.3% | 1-1 @ 11.74% 0-0 @ 6.08% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.67% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.86% | 0-1 @ 7.47% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.21% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.59% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.95% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.32% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.88% 1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 2.5% Total : 29.84% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 94 | 33 | 61 | 89 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 88 | 43 | 45 | 84 |
| 3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 58 | 43 | 15 | 75 |
| 4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 68 | 33 | 35 | 71 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 75 | 47 | 28 | 67 |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 72 | 53 | 19 | 62 |
| 7 | Aston Villa | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 61 |
| 8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 70 | 63 | 7 | 60 |
| 9 | Brentford | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 59 |
| 10 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 55 | 53 | 2 | 52 |
| 11 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 45 |
| 12 | Chelsea | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 44 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 58 | -27 | 41 |
| 14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 40 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 37 | 71 | -34 | 39 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 68 | -30 | 38 |
| 17 | Everton | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 34 | 57 | -23 | 36 |
| R | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 51 | 68 | -17 | 34 |
| R | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 48 | 78 | -30 | 31 |
| R | Southampton | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 36 | 73 | -37 | 25 |
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