SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Ayr United | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 4 | Partick Thistle | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 5 | Queen's Park | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dundee | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle | 3 | 3 | 5 |
| 3 | Ayr United | 3 | 1 | 5 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Partick Thistle win with a probability of 39.56%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 30.44% and a draw had a probability of 30%.
The most likely scoreline for a Partick Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.96%) and 2-1 (7.56%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 (11.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.41%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Partick Thistle would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Partick Thistle | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
39.56% ( -3.88) | 30% ( 1.31) | 30.44% ( 2.57) |
| Both teams to score 41.45% ( -2.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.41% ( -3.26) | 65.59% ( 3.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.7% ( -2.32) | 84.3% ( 2.32) |
| Partick Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.59% ( -3.87) | 32.4% ( 3.87) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.08% ( -4.6) | 68.92% ( 4.6) |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.32% ( 0.24) | 38.68% ( -0.25) |
