Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 53.67%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 21.58%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 0-1 (7.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
