Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 50.34%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 25.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-2 (8.57%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
