SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Wahda win with a probability of 38.5%. A win for Al Ettifaq had a probability of 35.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Wahda win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest Al Ettifaq win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Al Ettifaq would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al Wahda | Draw | Al Ettifaq |
38.5% ( 0.2) | 25.88% ( -0.07) | 35.62% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 54.59% ( 0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.31% ( 0.3) | 49.69% ( -0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.29% ( 0.27) | 71.7% ( -0.26) |
| Al Wahda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.7% ( 0.24) | 25.3% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.93% ( 0.33) | 60.07% ( -0.33) |
| Al Ettifaq Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.07% ( 0.07) | 26.92% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.75% ( 0.09) | 62.25% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Wahda | Draw | Al Ettifaq |
| 1-0 @ 9.36% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 8.44% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 6.43% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.87% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 2.95% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.54% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.33% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.57% Total : 38.5% | 1-1 @ 12.28% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.81% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 5.54% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.87% | 0-1 @ 8.94% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 8.06% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 3.53% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.42% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.16% ( 0)Other @ 3.09% Total : 35.62% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Al-HilalAl-Hilal | 15 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 46 | 8 | 38 | 41 |
| 2 | Al-Nassr | 15 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 18 | 21 | 34 |
| 3 | Al-AhliAl-Ahli | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 19 | 13 | 30 |
| 4 | Al Ittihad | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 30 | 15 | 15 | 28 |
| 5 | Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 24 | 14 | 10 | 28 |
| 6 | Al Fateh | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 24 |
| 7 | Al Ettifaq | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 23 |
| 8 | Damac | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 21 |
| 9 | Al Fayha | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 19 |
| 10 | Al WahdaAl Wahda | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 19 |
| 11 | Al Tai | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 17 |
| 12 | Al ShababAl Shabab | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 16 |
| 13 | Al Riyadh | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 16 |
| 14 | Al Khaleej | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 13 |
| 15 | Al Okhdood | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 13 |
| 16 | Abha | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 17 | 37 | -20 | 13 |
| 17 | Al RaedAl Raed | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 12 |
| 18 | Al Hazem | 15 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 41 | -26 | 8 |
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