SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Damac win with a probability of 39.76%. A win for Al Raed had a probability of 34.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Damac win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Al Raed win was 1-0 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Damac in this match.
| Result | ||
| Al Raed | Draw | Damac |
34.79% ( -0.11) | 25.45% ( 0.03) | 39.76% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 55.94% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.1% ( -0.15) | 47.9% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.92% ( -0.14) | 70.07% ( 0.14) |
| Al Raed Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.44% ( -0.13) | 26.56% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.22% ( -0.18) | 61.77% ( 0.18) |
| Damac Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.18% ( -0.02) | 23.82% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.01% ( -0.03) | 57.99% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Raed | Draw | Damac |
| 1-0 @ 8.39% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.98% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 5.56% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.53% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.46% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.19% Total : 34.79% | 1-1 @ 12.03% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.33% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.72% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.44% | 0-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 8.63% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.51% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 4.13% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.11% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.48% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.12% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.99% Total : 39.76% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Al-HilalAl-Hilal | 18 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 57 | 9 | 48 | 50 |
| 2 | Al-Nassr | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 46 | 20 | 26 | 40 |
| 3 | Al-AhliAl-Ahli | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 40 | 19 | 21 | 37 |
| 4 | Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 30 | 15 | 15 | 34 |
| 5 | Damac | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 30 |
| 6 | Al Ittihad | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 28 |
| 7 | Al Fateh | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 25 |
| 8 | Al Ettifaq | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 24 |
| 9 | Al WahdaAl Wahda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 32 | -4 | 22 |
| 10 | Al Khaleej | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 22 |
| 11 | Al Fayha | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 19 |
| 12 | Al Okhdood | 18 | 6 | 1 | 11 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 19 |
| 13 | Al ShababAl Shabab | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 18 |
| 14 | Al Tai | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 20 | 36 | -16 | 17 |
| 15 | Al Riyadh | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 34 | -19 | 16 |
| 16 | Abha | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 19 | 48 | -29 | 14 |
| 17 | Al RaedAl Raed | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 13 |
| 18 | Al Hazem | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 46 | -28 | 12 |
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