SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 75.56%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for Abha had a probability of 9.36%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.76%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.07%), while for an Abha win it was 1-2 (2.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Al-Nassr | Draw | Abha |
75.56% ( 0.24) | 15.08% ( -0.16) | 9.36% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 50.72% ( 0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.35% ( 0.55) | 34.65% ( -0.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.4% ( 0.61) | 56.6% ( -0.61) |
| Al-Nassr Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.33% ( 0.18) | 7.67% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 72.64% ( 0.45) | 27.35% ( -0.45) |
| Abha Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.93% ( 0.22) | 45.07% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 19.01% ( 0.18) | 80.99% ( -0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al-Nassr | Draw | Abha |
| 2-0 @ 11.39% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 9.76% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.08% ( -0.03)1-0 @ 8.87% ( -0.17)3-1 @ 7.78% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 6.26% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 4.99% ( 0.07)5-0 @ 3.22% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 2.56% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.99% ( 0.04)6-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.03)6-1 @ 1.1% ( 0.04)5-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.05% Total : 75.55% | 1-1 @ 7.07% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 3.62% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.46% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.94% Total : 15.08% | 1-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 2.75% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.73% Total : 9.36% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Al-HilalAl-Hilal | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 32 | 8 | 24 | 32 |
| 2 | Al-Nassr | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 28 |
| 3 | Al-AhliAl-Ahli | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 26 |
| 4 | Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 25 |
| 5 | Al Fateh | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 24 |
| 6 | Al Ittihad | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 21 |
| 7 | Al Ettifaq | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 21 |
| 8 | Al WahdaAl Wahda | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 16 |
| 9 | Damac | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 15 |
| 10 | Al Fayha | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 15 |
| 11 | Al ShababAl Shabab | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
| 12 | Al Khaleej | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 13 |
| 13 | Abha | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 13 |
| 14 | Al Riyadh | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 28 | -16 | 12 |
| 15 | Al Tai | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 11 |
| 16 | Al RaedAl Raed | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 9 |
| 17 | Al Okhdood | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 7 |
| 18 | Al Hazem | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 30 | -16 | 7 |
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