Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ural Yekaterinburg win with a probability of 45.63%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Akhmat Grozny had a probability of 26.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ural Yekaterinburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.92%) and 2-1 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.82%), while for an Akhmat Grozny win it was 0-1 (9.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
