Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 50.86%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Rubin Kazan had a probability of 23.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.7%) and 1-2 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Rubin Kazan win it was 1-0 (7.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
