SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 58.31%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Lokomotiv Moscow had a probability of 20.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.52%) and 0-2 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%), while for a Lokomotiv Moscow win it was 2-1 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Spartak Moscow in this match.
| Result | ||
| Lokomotiv Moscow | Draw | Spartak Moscow |
20.05% ( -0.01) | 21.64% | 58.31% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 56.27% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.28% ( -0.01) | 41.71% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.88% ( -0.01) | 64.11% ( 0.01) |
| Lokomotiv Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.45% ( -0.02) | 34.54% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.73% ( -0.02) | 71.26% ( 0.02) |
| Spartak Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.97% | 14.03% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 58.42% | 41.58% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lokomotiv Moscow | Draw | Spartak Moscow |
| 2-1 @ 5.38% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.15% 2-0 @ 2.74% ( -0)3-1 @ 1.91% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.87% ( -0)3-0 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 2.04% Total : 20.05% | 1-1 @ 10.11% 2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.85% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.63% | 1-2 @ 9.94% 0-1 @ 9.52% ( 0)0-2 @ 9.35% ( 0)1-3 @ 6.51% 0-3 @ 6.12% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.46% ( -0)1-4 @ 3.2% 0-4 @ 3.01% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.7% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.26% 0-5 @ 1.18% ( 0)Other @ 3.09% Total : 58.31% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Zenit St PetersburgZenit | 23 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 57 | 11 | 46 | 55 |
| 2 | RostovRostov | 23 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 40 | 30 | 10 | 46 |
| 3 | Spartak Moscow | 23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 50 | 28 | 22 | 45 |
| 4 | CSKA MoscowCSKA | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 42 | 21 | 21 | 44 |
| 5 | Dynamo Moscow | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 42 | 30 | 12 | 39 |
| 6 | FC KrasnodarKrasnodar | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 49 | 36 | 13 | 38 |
| 7 | Akhmat GroznyAkhmat Grozny | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 37 |
| 8 | OrenburgOrenburg | 23 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 44 | 47 | -3 | 33 |
| 9 | Sochi | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 31 |
| 10 | Lokomotiv MoscowLokomotiv | 23 | 8 | 4 | 11 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 28 |
| 11 | Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 25 |
| 12 | Ural YekaterinburgUral | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 25 |
| 13 | Nizhny Novgorod | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 25 | 47 | -22 | 19 |
| 14 | Fakel | 23 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 28 | 42 | -14 | 18 |
| 15 | KhimkiKhimki | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 19 | 50 | -31 | 14 |
| 16 | Torpedo Moskva | 23 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 37 | -21 | 13 |
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