Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 51.59%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Khimki had a probability of 23.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for a Khimki win it was 0-1 (7.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lokomotiv Moscow would win this match.
