Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 55.45%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Ural Yekaterinburg had a probability of 21.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.95%), while for a Ural Yekaterinburg win it was 0-1 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Krasnodar would win this match.
