SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 52.83%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Akhmat Grozny had a probability of 23.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%), while for an Akhmat Grozny win it was 0-1 (6.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dynamo Moscow | Draw | Akhmat Grozny |
52.83% ( -0.27) | 24% ( 0.09) | 23.17% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 52.96% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.75% ( -0.17) | 48.25% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.6% ( -0.16) | 70.4% ( 0.16) |
| Dynamo Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.78% ( -0.17) | 18.21% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 50.77% ( -0.29) | 49.23% ( 0.29) |
| Akhmat Grozny Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.76% ( 0.08) | 35.24% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28% ( 0.09) | 72% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dynamo Moscow | Draw | Akhmat Grozny |
| 1-0 @ 10.93% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 9.31% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.51% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 5.28% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.35% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 2.25% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.39% Total : 52.83% | 1-1 @ 11.4% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.42% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.06% ( 0)3-3 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24% | 0-1 @ 6.7% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 5.95% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 3.49% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.02)Other @ 2% Total : 23.17% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Zenit St PetersburgZenit | 29 | 20 | 7 | 2 | 73 | 20 | 53 | 67 |
| 2 | CSKA MoscowCSKA | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 52 | 26 | 26 | 55 |
| 3 | Spartak Moscow | 29 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 54 |
| 4 | RostovRostov | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 47 | 40 | 7 | 53 |
| 5 | Akhmat GroznyAkhmat Grozny | 29 | 15 | 4 | 10 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 49 |
| 6 | FC KrasnodarKrasnodar | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 60 | 44 | 16 | 47 |
| 7 | Dynamo Moscow | 29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | 49 | 42 | 7 | 45 |
| 8 | OrenburgOrenburg | 29 | 13 | 4 | 12 | 55 | 55 | 0 | 43 |
| 9 | Lokomotiv MoscowLokomotiv | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 51 | 45 | 6 | 42 |
| 10 | Sochi | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 38 |
| 11 | Ural YekaterinburgUral | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 33 |
| 12 | Fakel | 29 | 6 | 12 | 11 | 36 | 47 | -11 | 30 |
| 13 | Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 29 |
| 14 | Nizhny Novgorod | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 31 | 50 | -19 | 27 |
| 15 | KhimkiKhimki | 29 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 25 | 65 | -40 | 18 |
| 16 | Torpedo Moskva | 29 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 21 | 58 | -37 | 13 |
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