SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 43.67%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 30.34% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundee would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dundee | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
43.67% ( 1.02) | 25.98% ( -0.74) | 30.34% ( -0.29) |
| Both teams to score 52.66% ( 2.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.54% ( 2.85) | 51.46% ( -2.86) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.73% ( 2.43) | 73.27% ( -2.44) |
| Dundee Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.56% ( 1.77) | 23.44% ( -1.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.55% ( 2.5) | 57.45% ( -2.51) |
| Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.79% ( 1.26) | 31.21% ( -1.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.45% ( 1.45) | 67.55% ( -1.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dundee | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 10.61% ( -0.67) 2-1 @ 8.96% ( 0.22)2-0 @ 7.7% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 4.33% ( 0.32)3-0 @ 3.72% ( 0.15)3-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.27)4-1 @ 1.57% ( 0.19)4-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.12)4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.14)Other @ 1.98% Total : 43.67% | 1-1 @ 12.35% ( -0.33) 0-0 @ 7.32% ( -0.87)2-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.3)3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.13)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.97% | 0-1 @ 8.52% ( -0.69) 1-2 @ 7.2% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.22)1-3 @ 2.79% ( 0.12)2-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.18)0-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.92% Total : 30.34% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arsenal | 26 | 20 | 3 | 3 | 59 | 25 | 34 | 63 |
| 2 | Manchester CityMan City | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 66 | 25 | 41 | 58 |
| 3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 24 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 41 | 28 | 13 | 49 |
| 4 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 26 | 14 | 3 | 9 | 46 | 36 | 10 | 45 |
| 5 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 24 | 10 | 11 | 3 | 35 | 17 | 18 | 41 |
| 6 | Liverpool | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 39 |
| 7 | Fulham | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 39 |
| 8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 43 | 29 | 14 | 38 |
| 9 | Brentford | 23 | 8 | 11 | 4 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 35 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 34 |
| 11 | Aston Villa | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 34 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 27 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 27 |
| 14 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 42 | -24 | 25 |
| 15 | Leicester CityLeicester | 25 | 7 | 3 | 15 | 36 | 43 | -7 | 24 |
| 16 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 23 |
| 17 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 22 |
| 18 | Everton | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 17 | 36 | -19 | 21 |
| 19 | Southampton | 25 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 20 | 41 | -21 | 21 |
| 20 | Bournemouth | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 24 | 51 | -27 | 21 |
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