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Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 3
Aug 4, 2023 at 7pm UK
Stadion Kranjceviceva
NK Lokomotiva
3 - 3
Varazdin
Kalaica (59'), Stojkovic (71', 79' pen.)
Vranjkovic (89'), Feta (90+2'), Fetai (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Mitrovski (19'), Brodic (22', 65')
Brodic (41'), Sego (63')
Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between NK Lokomotiva and NK Varazdin.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gorica 1-0 NK Lokomotiva
Saturday, July 29 at 5.45pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Varazdin 2-2 Slaven Koprivnica
Friday, July 28 at 7pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NK Lokomotiva win with a probability of 47.72%. A win for NK Varazdin had a probability of 27.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a NK Lokomotiva win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest NK Varazdin win was 0-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
NK LokomotivaDrawNK Varazdin
47.72% (0.0059999999999931 0.01) 24.57% (0.004999999999999 0) 27.71% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 55.57% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.1% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)46.9% (0.028000000000006 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.85% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)69.15% (0.024999999999991 0.02)
NK Lokomotiva Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.28% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)19.72% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.26% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)51.74% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
NK Varazdin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.22% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)30.78% (0.022000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.96% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)67.05% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    NK Lokomotiva 47.73%
    NK Varazdin 27.71%
    Draw 24.57%
NK LokomotivaDrawNK Varazdin
1-0 @ 9.85% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.43%
2-0 @ 8% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 5.1% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 4.33% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 2.07% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 1.76%
4-2 @ 1.22% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 47.73%
1-1 @ 11.61% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.07% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.55% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.57%
0-1 @ 7.15% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-2 @ 6.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 4.21%
1-3 @ 2.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.66% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 27.71%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Gorica 1-0 NK Lokomotiva
Saturday, July 29 at 5.45pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: NK Lokomotiva 1-1 Istra 1961
Sunday, July 23 at 8pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Ajax 3-0 NK Lokomotiva
Saturday, July 9 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Malmo 5-0 NK Lokomotiva
Thursday, September 24 at 6pm in Europa League
Last Game: NK Lokomotiva 0-1 Rapid Vienna
Wednesday, August 26 at 6pm in Champions League
Last Game: Varazdin 2-2 Slaven Koprivnica
Friday, July 28 at 7pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Gorica 1-1 Varazdin
Sunday, July 23 at 5.45pm in Croatian 1. HNL
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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1HNK RijekaRijeka107122181322
2Hajduk Split10703136721
3Dinamo Zagreb106132191219
4GoricaGorica11542128419
5Osijek104332417715
6NK VarazdinVarazdin113621614215
7NK Lokomotiva113531411314
8Slaven Koprivnica123451424-1013
9NK Istra 1961Istra 196111146825-177
10Rudes120210728-212
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