Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 67.7%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 12.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.73%) and 1-2 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.38%), while for a Moreirense win it was 1-0 (4.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
