Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 48.24%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 25.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.32%) and 1-2 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Belenenses win it was 1-0 (8.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Belenenses would win this match.
