Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 58.53%. A draw has a probability of 23.2% and a win for Belenenses has a probability of 18.25%.
The most likely scoreline was Belenenses 0-1 Arouca with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines were 0-2 (11.17%), 1-1 (11.01%), 1-2 (9.72%). The actual score line of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.8%.
