SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 38.13%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 37.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.81%) and 2-0 (5.78%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 1-2 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that West Ham United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| West Ham United | Draw | Manchester United |
38.13% ( -0.07) | 24.57% ( 0.01) | 37.29% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 59.35% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.38% ( -0.08) | 43.61% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.99% ( -0.07) | 66% ( 0.07) |
| West Ham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.25% ( -0.07) | 22.74% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.57% ( -0.1) | 56.42% ( 0.09) |
| Manchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.82% ( -0.01) | 23.18% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.93% ( -0.01) | 57.06% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| West Ham United | Draw | Manchester United |
| 2-1 @ 8.45% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.81% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.78% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.17% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.85% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.54% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.06% ( -0)Other @ 2.29% Total : 38.14% | 1-1 @ 11.41% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.18% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.27% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.56% | 1-2 @ 8.34% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.71% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.63% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.07% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.01% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.75% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.49% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.1% ( -0)0-4 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 2.2% Total : 37.29% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 94 | 33 | 61 | 89 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 88 | 43 | 45 | 84 |
| 3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 58 | 43 | 15 | 75 |
| 4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 68 | 33 | 35 | 71 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 75 | 47 | 28 | 67 |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 72 | 53 | 19 | 62 |
| 7 | Aston Villa | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 61 |
| 8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 70 | 63 | 7 | 60 |
| 9 | Brentford | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 59 |
| 10 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 55 | 53 | 2 | 52 |
| 11 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 45 |
| 12 | Chelsea | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 44 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 58 | -27 | 41 |
| 14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 40 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 37 | 71 | -34 | 39 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 68 | -30 | 38 |
| 17 | Everton | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 34 | 57 | -23 | 36 |
| R | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 51 | 68 | -17 | 34 |
| R | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 48 | 78 | -30 | 31 |
| R | Southampton | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 36 | 73 | -37 | 25 |
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