Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 38.25%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 33% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.82%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 0-1 (11.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
