MX23RW : Sunday, May 28 17:42:36
SM
Sunday, May 28
BL
Premier League | Gameweek 20
Dec 29, 2021 at 8.15pm UK
Brentford Community Stadium
MC
Brentford
0 - 1
Man City
 
FT(HT: 0-1)
Foden (16')

We said: Brentford 1-3 Manchester City

Guardiola and City may very well have one eye on the impending showdown with Arsenal, but that should not impact their hopes of a routine win over an inconsistent Brentford. The Bees have performed valiantly against the big teams on home soil, but amid an absentee crisis which is not letting up, City ought to record a 10th successive Premier League win in style. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 64.85%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Brentford had a probability of 15.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.76%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.53%), while for a Brentford win it was 1-0 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
BrentfordDrawManchester City
15.07%20.09%64.85%
Both teams to score 51.32%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.72%43.28%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.32%65.68%
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.71%41.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.19%77.81%
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.42%12.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.33%38.67%
Score Analysis
    Brentford 15.07%
    Manchester City 64.84%
    Draw 20.09%
BrentfordDrawManchester City
1-0 @ 4.6%
2-1 @ 4.21%
2-0 @ 2.03%
3-2 @ 1.29%
3-1 @ 1.24%
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 15.07%
1-1 @ 9.53%
0-0 @ 5.2%
2-2 @ 4.37%
Other @ 1%
Total : 20.09%
0-2 @ 11.16%
0-1 @ 10.76%
1-2 @ 9.87%
0-3 @ 7.71%
1-3 @ 6.82%
0-4 @ 4%
1-4 @ 3.54%
2-3 @ 3.02%
0-5 @ 1.66%
2-4 @ 1.56%
1-5 @ 1.47%
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 64.84%

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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CManchester CityMan City38285594336189
2Arsenal38266688434584
3Manchester UnitedMan Utd38236958431575
4Newcastle UnitedNewcastle381914568333571
5Liverpool381910975472867
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton381881272531962
7Aston Villa38187135146561
8Tottenham HotspurSpurs38186147063760
9Brentford381514958461259
10Fulham38157165553252
11Crystal Palace381112154049-945
12Chelsea381111163847-944
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38118193158-2741
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham38117204255-1340
15Bournemouth38116213771-3439
16Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest38911183868-3038
17Everton38812183457-2336
18Leicester CityLeicester3897225168-1734
19Leeds UnitedLeeds38710214878-3031
RSouthampton3867253673-3725
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